Thursday, May 15, 2008

Bush, Obama, and Israel

Today President Bush said, in Israel:

"Some seem to believe we should negotiate with terrorists and radicals, as if some ingenious argument will persuade them they have been wrong all along"

"We have heard this foolish delusion before," Bush said in remarks to Israel's parliament, the Knesset.

"As Nazi tanks crossed into Poland in 1939, an American senator declared: 'Lord, if only I could have talked to Hitler, all of this might have been avoided.' We have an obligation to call this what it is -- the false comfort of appeasement, which has been repeatedly discredited by history."

This, of course, to celebrate Israel's 60th anniversary. NOT! This was a cheap shot at Democratic leading candidate, Barack Obama. Why? Because Obama is willing to meet with enemy countries and try to negotiate peace, to lay out in clear terms what they must do in order to achieve peace.

Of course, Bush denies that his words were targeted at anyone in particular.

CNN.com reports:

Joe Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, called Bush's comments "bulls**t" and said if the president disagrees so strongly with the idea of talking to Iran then he needs to fire his secretaries of State and Defense, both of whom Biden said have pushed to sit down with the Iranians.

[end quote]

Good for Senator Biden! It's a blind and insane policy to REFUSE TO TALK with countries that we deem our enemies. Why shouldn't we sit down with their leaders and tell them what we want them to do, negotiate, argue, make demands, perhaps make treaties. Obama isn't talking about sitting down with terrorists (he would NOT sit with Hammas), but he would talk to leaders of other countries...any country, no matter how insane...because TALKING is the peaceful way to resolve issues.

John McCain said: "It is a serious error on the part of Sen. Obama that shows naiveté and inexperience and lack of judgment to say that he wants to sit down across the table from an individual who leads a country who says that Israel is a stinking corpse"

Is it a serious error? Or is the bigger error to ignore Iran, let them say and do whatever they want, and never site down to talk. Simply let them alone until we're forced into another war.

Which is the more naivé, Mr. McCain? He who thinks issues should try, first, to be resolved with speech, or he who jumps right into war?

John McCain: WAR HAWK FOR PRESIDENT.

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

McCain vs Obama and the CLINTON FACTOR

The latest national polls show that 48% of the country would vote Obama, and 43% would vote McCain, if the two were running against each other.

What these polls don't take into account, is the CLINTON FACTOR. What is the CLINTON FACTOR? It works like this:

You support Clinton. A pollster asks you, would you vote Clinton in Clinton v. McCain. You say yes. Obama v. McCain? If you say yes, then the polls will reveal that Democrats, even those is support of Clinton, are cool with Obama. And if the polls show that anyone would vote for Obama, then independents, undecideds, and all kinds of people will vote for him, because they see that he has the support. So, you, the Clinton supporter, tell the pollster "No. I wouldn't vote for Obama".

As a result, you get crazy amounts of Clinton supporters refusing to vote for Obama...now. In May. But let me be the first to tell you; come November, it's all gonna change.

As soon as Obama is chosen the Democratic winner, Clinton supporters will realize the implications of their Clinton-Or-Nothing attitude...4 more years of Bush. And so, reluctantly perhaps, the Democrats will learn to love Obama.

Even now, with the CLINTON FACTOR in play, the majority of voters (48% of 91% reporting) would vote Obama over McCain. And if you just look at registered Democrats, 52% prefer Obama, and of Clinton supporters, 28% would vote McCain.

Let's do some math. Democratic Party = 100%. Obama Fans = 52%, Clinton Fans = 48%. Clinton Fans Voting Obama if he Wins = (100-28=72%), 72% x 48% = 35%. 52%+35%=87%.

Even with the CLINTON FACTOR, 87% of Democrats would vote Obama over McCain. That's the truth of the matter, regardless of what Fox News would like you to think. After the CLINTON FACTOR dies down? I predict that half the Clinton backers who claim to vote McCain will change their minds. That ends up becoming 93% of Democrats voting for Obama. So McCain gets 7%...or maybe 7% just don't vote.

That's not what the news has been making it sound like. Listening to radio or TV, and you'd think the Democrats were split 50/50. No way. Even now, 87% for Obama. My prediction: 93%. Let's see the results in November.

Monday, May 12, 2008

How Obama will Become President in 2008

Step 1. Secure Democratic Nomination
Obama just about 150 delegates away from the nomination, with 217 state and 246 Superdelegates yet to decide. That's about 33% of the remaining vote that Obama needs to win. If all states and Superdelegates go 33% Obama, 67% Clinton...Obama wins. So, Step 1 is pretty secure.

Nonetheless, tomorrow's West Virginia primary is going to show a HUGE win for Clinton...in percentages. She could win by 20, 30 , even 40 points. Even so, should she win by 100%, she would win 28 delegates. And she needs over 320.

Step 2. Remind Americans of the Iraq War
Polls show that roughly 68% of Americans oppose the war in Iraq...and also about 68% want some, or all troops pulled out.

Obama opposed the war from the start, and has a withdrawal timetable to force the Iraqi government to get its act together. McCain supports the war and would stay in Iraq another 100 years. And why are we even there?

Step 3. Explain the Future of Oil
McCain wants a summer gas holiday. That costs the government $15,000,000,000 in tax collection, gives Big Oil $15,000,000,000 to either take off their gas price, or pocket for themselves, and saves each American about $20-30.

Obama opposes the plan...and has an environmentally-geared program to reduce pollution, reduce dependence on foreign oil, find and implement alternate fuels, reduce the impact of America on the environment, and impose profit-based taxation on oil to reduce gas prices.

Step 4. McCain = Bush = Same
McCain and Bush, while different in many ways, have the same IRAQ and ECONOMIC policies. Most Americans agree, IRAQ and the ECONOMY are the most pressing issues in this election. Should we vote for 4 more years of G.W. Bush policy on these vital issues?

Step 5. Conquer the Map
Obama has shown he has influence in the 30+ states he has won so far. For others, like PA and OH, which voted Clinton in the Democratic primary, Obama, working with Clinton, should be able to convince voters that much of the same policies Clinton supports are supported by Obama. Once Obama secures the Clinton vote, he will be unstoppable.

That's how and why Obama will be our next President. He will be our youngest and first multi-racial President, not to mention the candidate to raise the most money from supporters of his cause.

OBAMA '08!