McCain vs Obama and the CLINTON FACTOR

The latest national polls show that 48% of the country would vote Obama, and 43% would vote McCain, if the two were running against each other.

What these polls don't take into account, is the CLINTON FACTOR. What is the CLINTON FACTOR? It works like this:

You support Clinton. A pollster asks you, would you vote Clinton in Clinton v. McCain. You say yes. Obama v. McCain? If you say yes, then the polls will reveal that Democrats, even those is support of Clinton, are cool with Obama. And if the polls show that anyone would vote for Obama, then independents, undecideds, and all kinds of people will vote for him, because they see that he has the support. So, you, the Clinton supporter, tell the pollster "No. I wouldn't vote for Obama".

As a result, you get crazy amounts of Clinton supporters refusing to vote for Obama...now. In May. But let me be the first to tell you; come November, it's all gonna change.

As soon as Obama is chosen the Democratic winner, Clinton supporters will realize the implications of their Clinton-Or-Nothing attitude...4 more years of Bush. And so, reluctantly perhaps, the Democrats will learn to love Obama.

Even now, with the CLINTON FACTOR in play, the majority of voters (48% of 91% reporting) would vote Obama over McCain. And if you just look at registered Democrats, 52% prefer Obama, and of Clinton supporters, 28% would vote McCain.

Let's do some math. Democratic Party = 100%. Obama Fans = 52%, Clinton Fans = 48%. Clinton Fans Voting Obama if he Wins = (100-28=72%), 72% x 48% = 35%. 52%+35%=87%.

Even with the CLINTON FACTOR, 87% of Democrats would vote Obama over McCain. That's the truth of the matter, regardless of what Fox News would like you to think. After the CLINTON FACTOR dies down? I predict that half the Clinton backers who claim to vote McCain will change their minds. That ends up becoming 93% of Democrats voting for Obama. So McCain gets 7%...or maybe 7% just don't vote.

That's not what the news has been making it sound like. Listening to radio or TV, and you'd think the Democrats were split 50/50. No way. Even now, 87% for Obama. My prediction: 93%. Let's see the results in November.